The scientific community’s inability to provide a convincing explanation for how organisms evolve led me to plunge into cell biology in search for answers. The basis for my skepticism of Neo-Darwinism is provided below.
Evolution requires genetic variation, which originates by mutation.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
In the main, Neo-Darwinists consider mutation the primary source of genetic variation:
Ultimately, mutation is the source of all new genetic variation; new combinations of alleles may arise through recombination, but new alleles occur only as a result of mutation. Thus mutation provides the raw genetic material on which evolution acts.
Peter Russell, iGenetics
Futuyma links this source of variation with evolution when he writes:
…adaptation is based on a combination of a random process (mutation) that cannot be trusted to produce the needed variation (and often does not) and a process that is the very epitome of waste and seeming cruelty (natural selection, which requires that great numbers of organisms fail to survive or reproduce).
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
The insistence that mutation is the primary source of new genetic material raises several fundamental issues, limitations, and critiques of Neo-Darwinism that will serve as material for the rest of this page section.
The first issue is the fact that cells do everything possible to prevent mutations:
In fact, there is strong selection pressure for making the genetic copying process as high-fidelity as possible, minimizing the likelihood of error. Fortunately, it cannot quite achieve perfection, for if it did, evolution would grind to a halt.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
This strikes me as suspicious, that evolution would depend on the few failures that natural selection works so hard to eliminate. But this isn’t nearly as problematic as the assertion that these necessary mutations occur randomly:
On the basis of laboratory experiments, scientists have concluded that mutations occur randomly. The term “random” here has a specific meaning that is often misunderstood, even by biologists. What this means is that mutations occur regardless of whether they would be useful to the individual. Mutations are simply errors in DNA replication. Most of them are harmful or neutral, but a few can turn out to be useful. The useful ones are the raw material of evolution…
—the variation between individuals—are indeed produced by chance mutation. These mutations occur willy-nilly, regardless of whether they are good or bad for the individual. [emphasis original]
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
Additional chinks in the theory that depends on random mutation as the sole source of variation include endosymbiosis (the inclusion of mitochondria and chloroplasts in eukaryotic cells), fully accepted now as orthodox biology and clearly not the result of mutation, and the discovery of horizontal gene transfer (HGT), a source of variation that has proven especially interesting:
…the appearance of resistance to each drug so quickly, in one strain of bacteria and another, as occurred in the 1940s and 1950s, was a phenomenon that couldn’t be explained by the slow Darwinian process of mutation, natural selection, and ordinary inheritance, occurring independently in each case. Darwinian selection was certainly involved, but selection can act only on variation: genetic differences between one individual and another. What was the source of the variation? Mutation alone couldn’t account for the appearance of so many new genes, so fast, in so many different organisms. It had to be something else—something that move speedily and sideways, even between members of different bacterial species…
Japan suffered a wave of dysentery outbreaks caused by Shigella superbugs, [mid-fifties] resistant to four kinds of antibiotic…Could these strains have acquired such multiple resistance so quickly by incremental mutations alone – one misplaced A, C, G, or T at a time? The odds against that were so high you’d need a string of twenty-eight zeros to print them. But if not, what was happening?
…the capacity for multiple resistance was passed by conjugation. Yes, a sizable packet of genes, not just one bit of DNA, was moving across [from one bacteria to another]…Further research showed that the packet could cross boundaries between other species, even from genus to genus…
David Quammen, The Tangled Tree
The existence of endosymbiosis and HGT are relatively minor issues for Neo-Darwinism, as they took place in the distant past (endosymbiosis) or only seem to impact the smallest organisms (bacteria). The dependence of Neo-Darwinism on chance mutations invites more serious criticism when attempting to explain the evolution of complex biological structures.
Richard Dawkins provides the classical defense of improbable evolution:
No matter how improbable it is that an X could have arisen from a Y in a single step, it is always possible to conceive of a serious of infinitesimally graded intermediates between them. However improbable a large-scale change may be, smaller changes are less improbable. And provided we postulate sufficiently large series of sufficiently finely graded intermediates, we shall be able to derive anything from anything else, without invoking astronomical improbabilities. We are allowed to do this only if there has been sufficient time to fit all the intermediates in.
Richard Dawkins, The Blind Watchmaker
There are several logical and empirical issues with this position. The first one is provided by Michael Denton:
It is true that Darwin appealed on many instances in the Origin to the enormous periods of time available to the evolutionary search but, as is the case with any other random search procedure, time in itself tells us nothing of the probability of achieving any sort of goal unless the complexity of the search can be quantified.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
As it stands, nobody has determined the probabilities for making even the smallest evolutionary step by step path from one species to another, or from one complex structure (a primitive eye, say, to a more complex one), because nobody has been able to map out what such a path might look like, from either a genetic or phenetic perspective. As a physicist once said, if it happens it must be possible, and that’s essentially what Dawkins is asserting.
As we will discuss in more detail in the next section, the mutations that are supposed to provide necessary variation occur when DNA is being copied. DNA coding is exactly what it sounds like: a four-letter system that contains all of the information (as far as we know) to develop and operate biological organisms. Mutations occur when one of the four letters is substituted erroneously for another. According to current theory, this new code might lead to a novel feature that proves advantageous to the species.
As discussed earlier, such mutations are very rare for several reasons. One, because the cell does a good job replicating DNA and even employs sophisticated err-checking and err correction, and secondly because most random mutations are either superfluous (there is a lot of DNA that doesn’t seem to do much) or deleterious to the organism, causing death or lowered fitness.
Another problem with Neo-Darwinism as Dawkins presents it is that it is difficult to believe that one nucleotide change would make so much positive difference. (Again, we will get to the details next section.) The mutations we are most familiar with are associated with hereditary disease, and in most cases involve the disruption of the building of one protein or another, causing a deficiency in that individual. Given how proteins are produced, this is easy to understand. But how might a mutation lead to a new protein, one that provides an advantage to the individual, and presumably to its offspring? This issue will also be illustrated in the next section.
Regardless of the problematic mechanics in replicating DNA and the subsequent production of proteins, the idea that random changes in code can lead to increasing levels of fitness needs to be challenged. Let’s begin with an English sentence 100 letters long:
Linguists have estimated a total of 10 to the 25th possible English sentences one hundred letters long, but as there are a total of …10 to the 130th possible sequences one hundred letters long, then less than one in about 10 to the 100th will be an English sentence. The figure 10 to the 100th is beyond comprehension—some idea of the immensity it represents can be grasped by recalling that there are only 10 to the 70th atoms in the entire observable universe.
Michael Denton, Evolution: A Theory in Crisis
Take one of those English sentences 100 letters long, and assume it means something. (In biological terms, it’s a viable organism of some kind.) Each word in the sentence represents a unique gene. Now imagine mutating one of those letters randomly. Most likely, the sentence no longer means the same thing (for better or worse) and if it now means nothing it would equate to a death sentence (a common outcome of mutations). But let’s say it didn’t kill the sentence. What are the chances that the sentence is better (more fit)?
This is a necessary condition because any mutation that doesn’t improve the sentence will unlikely be reproduced. But let’s accept the possibility that over time the sentence ‘improves’ one mutated letter at a time. To what end? How can the sentence evolve to mean something entirely different (a new species)? More likely we see something like domesticating dogs, with a wide range of types but all of them remaining dogs. Denton explains:
What is true of sentences and watches is also true of computer programs, airplane engines, and in fact of all known complex systems. Almost invariably, function is restricted to unique and fantastically improbable combinations of subsystems, tiny islands of meaning lost in an infinite sea of incoherence.
…unless we guide our search by the use of algorithms which direct us to very specific regions of the space, there is no realistic possibility of success.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Denton further concludes that
The essential problem with this “gigantic lottery” conception of evolution is that all experience teaches that searching for solutions by purely random search procedures is hopelessly inefficient.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
The next issue with Neo-Darwinist incremental improvement based on mutation is the existence of biological complexity, along with serious questions as to how you get from one complex system to another, one incremental step at a time.
Michael Behe introduces a more specific element of complexity when he writes:
By irreducibly complex I mean a single system composed of several well-matched, interacting parts that contribute to the basic function, wherein the removal of any of the parts causes the system to effectively cease functioning. An irreducibly complex system cannot be produced directly (that is, by continuously improving the initial function, which continues to work by the same mechanism) by slight, successive modifications of a precursor system, because any precursor to an irreducibly complex system that is missing a part is by definition nonfunctional.
Michael Behe, Darwin’s Black Box
If Behe is correct, the existence of irreducibly complex biological structures (and there are many) poses a major impediment to incremental evolutionary progress. Michael Denton provides an interesting example:
The evolution of the amniotic egg is baffling. It was this decisive innovation which permitted for the first time genuinely terrestrial vertebrate life, freeing it from the necessity of embryological development in an aquatic environment. Altogether at least eight quite different innovations were combined to make the amniotic revolution possible: the formation of a tough impervious shell; the formation of the gelatinous egg white (albumen) and the secretion of a special acid to yield its water; the excretion of nitrogenous waste in the form of water insoluble uric acid; the formation of the amniotic cavity in which the embryo floats (This is surrounded by the amniotic membrane which is formed by an outgrowth of mesodermal tissue. Neither the amniotic cavity nor the membrane which surrounds it has any homologue in any amphibian); the formation of the allantois from the future floor of the hind gut as a container for waste products and later to serve the function of a respiratory organ; the development of a tooth or caruncle which the developed embryo can utilize to break out of the egg; a quantity of yoke sufficient for the needs of the embryo till hatching; changes in the urogenital system of the female permitting fertilization of the egg before the hardening of the shell.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Given the central question being posed (how complex biological structures evolve) it’s worth looking at another specific example:
A particularly fascinating case is the mating flight of the dragonfly. The male flies ahead of the female and grips her head with terminal claspers. The female then bends her abdomen forward and receives the sperm from a special copulatory organ which is situated toward the front on the undersurface of the abdomen of the male dragonfly and which he fills with semen from the true reproductive aperture before the start of the mating flight. This strange maneuver, which seems a curiously roundabout way to bring sperm to egg, depends on the unique and complex machinery which forms the male copulatory organ. Although in its detailed structure it varies enormously in different species, the fundamental design of this extraordinary complex organ is essentially the same in all species of dragonfly. No other insect possesses anything remotely like it, nor is it led up to gradually by a sequence of simpler transitional structures.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Despite the existence of irreducible complex structures, scientists insist that traditional Neo-Darwinist explanations suffice:
Even if we cannot immediately guess the function of a feature, we often suspect it has an adaptive function if it is complex, for complexity cannot evolve except by natural selection.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
How did life originate on earth? How do irreducibly complex systems evolve? It’s possible that the answers to both questions are related:
As far as we know, life originated only once, as did flowers, vertebrates, terrestrial vertebrates, the amnion, the feather, the mammalian diaphragm, the elephant’s trunk, and countless other examples. A single origin is very close to no origin at all.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
The two questions, however, are treated separate and distinct in Futuyma’s book. On the one hand, he acknowledges our collective ignorance of how life originated:
The most difficult problem in accounting for the origin of life is that in known living systems, only nucleic acids replicate, but their replication requires the action of proteins that are encoded by the nucleic acids.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
How protein enzymes evolved is perhaps the greatest unsolved problem.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
And on the other, he blithely asserts the lack of any difficulty with explaining the evolution of complexity:
Neither at the morphological nor the molecular level is the notion of “irreducible complexity” a barrier to evolution.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
This is a bold statement (as Vincent Vega might say) not borne out subsequently in the text. While such complexity is obviously not a barrier to evolution (given that such complexity exists), the actual barrier arises in providing a convincing explanation for such complexity, something that Futuyma’s text fails to do.
For example, consider the following:
Alleles with large effects contribute importantly to mimetic phenotypes in butterflies such as Heliconius, in which a species has converged toward the phenotype of another unpalatable species. Were phenotypes to arise that deviated only slightly from one mimetic patter toward another, they would lack protective resemblance to either unpalatable model and presumably would suffer a disadvantage. Thus it is likely that the evolution of one mimetic pattern from another was initiated by a mutation of large enough effect to provide substantial resemblance to a different model species, followed by selection of alleles with smaller effects that “fine-tuned” the phenotype. [my italics]
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
This example was well illustrated in the book, showing how a lesser mutation would provide no value to the butterfly. The change had to be significant enough to provide the mimic the protection that was ultimately gained by the species. How did such a large mutation take place, in this instance? What changes in the genotype were required? How many alleles involved? And if several, how does such a coordinated mutation take place?
One example of a coordinated mutation was provided on page 626:
The course of evolution, moreover, can depend on rare mutations or combinations of interacting mutations: in one of twelve experimental populations of E. coli, the ability to metabolize citrate (based on a combination of two mutations) evolved only after 30,000 generations, during which billions of mutations had occurred.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
So in this example, one small coordinated mutation required 30,000 generations and billions of mutations. Apply those numbers to the evolution of the whale, for instance, an animal that underwent tremendous change in a few millions of years (not unlike humans). Given the slow birth rate of whales and the amount of change evident in the fossil record, does the math hold? How many coordinated mutations were required for whales to evolve from land-living mammals into the oceanic behemoths of today? What was the nature of these coordinated mutations? Two, three, four alleles at a time? Or was the rapid evolution of whales due entirely to single point mutations, recombination, and/or genetic drift?
The book provides some potential clues to the evolution of complexity. For example:
Goldschmidt’s genetic system hypothesis has been completely repudiated, but the possibility of evolution by more modest jumps remains one of the most enduring controversies in evolutionary theory.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
So without actual saltation to the level of ‘hopeful monsters’, perhaps more modest jumps explain elements of evolution. This seems to be on the right track.
Other examples of possible sources for larger changes include:
Alternative splicing appears to be a major mechanism by which metazoans can increase functional diversity with a limited set of genes. For example, over one-third of alternative splicing events in human cells are distinct from those occurring for the same genes in mice, and recent research shows that the pattern of alternative splicing can evolve surprisingly quickly….Additionally, alternative splicing occurs in an environment-and tissue-dependent manner…suggesting a link between alternative splicing and functional diversification.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
Protein sequence evolution can also be an important source of regulatory novelty in evolution. Amino acid substitutions in transcription factors, affecting either their interactions with other regulatory proteins or their binding to cis-regulatory elements, represent an important potential source of novelty because these changes can potentially affect the expression of many downstream genes during development….it is clear that even a small number of changes in a regulatory protein can lead to important macroevolutionary novelties.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
These are interesting clues, and it would be helpful to see them tied to a specific case where a significant evolutionary step was taken.
Futuyma asks the relevant question when he writes:
…we may well ask whether each step, from the slightest initial alteration of a feature to the full complexity of form displayed by later descendants, could have been guided by selection. What functional advantage can there be, skeptics ask, in an incompletely developed eye? And we can ask how complex characters could have evolved if their proper function depends on the mutually adjusted form of each of their many components.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
He will later go on to show that many eyes exist in nature of various levels of complexity, indicating that something less than a fully operational eye provides adaptive value. My question would be this: how does one form of eye, one that operates as a coordinated and functional biological mechanism (pick any of them of lesser complexity) evolve to the next step, one that is equally coordinated and functional, yet different somehow? It can’t happen with many small steps, because any one small change will disrupt the functioning of the existing eye, and therefore be selected against. Futuyma might respond to this as follows:
Complex adaptations are usually based not on single mutations, but on combinations of mutations that jointly or successively increase in frequency as a result of natural selection.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
This may be (perhaps must be) exactly right. But is there a specific example of this? How would it work? How many simultaneous mutations would be required to move from one complex system (say a primitive form of an eye) to a slightly better version?
Or take another example: pit vipers have complex system of subduing their prey:
· sensitivities to heat for tracking and identifying their warm blooded prey
· poison glands that render their prey immobile (and actually begin the process of digestion after being struck)
· long, hollow fangs that deploy when the viper strikes
· ducts that conduct the poison from the glands through the hollow fangs into their victim
How did such a system evolve? What came first? What value are hollow teeth without the poison? What value is poison without the means of delivering it?
The list goes on, and examples could be extended endlessly. How many multiple-mutation events would be required to go from the proto-viper to one that exists today?
The text offers conflicting statements on the matter. While Futuyma writes in one place: “Evolution requires genetic variation, which originates by mutation.” In response to a question relating ‘chance’ and ‘complex structures,’ the response reads:
This is true [that chance could not produce complex structures], but natural selection is a deterministic, not a random, process. The random processes of evolution—mutation and genetic drift—do not result in the evolution of complexity, as far as we know.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
If “evolution requires genetic variation, which originates by mutation,” but the “random processes of evolution—mutation and genetic drift—do not result in the evolution of complexity,” then what does?
To be fair, let’s consider an expanded definition of evolutionary science:
A body of ideas about the causes of evolution, including mutation, recombination, gene flow, isolation, random genetic drift, the many forms of natural selection, and other factors, constitutes our current theory of evolution, or “evolutionary theory.”
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
Nothing in this brief description, or any subsequent sections, provides a convincing argument, proof or example of the evolution of a complex system.
To be perfectly clear, the principle question might be stated like this: What is the source of variation that leads to the evolution of complex systems? As for the main thrust of evolutionary theory, I agree completely with the following:
The main tenets of evolutionary theory—descent with modification from a common ancestor, in part caused by natural selection—are so well supported that almost all biologists confidently accept evolutionary theory as the foundation of the science of life.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
I consider this beyond reasonable doubt. What I find confusing is the admittance that not everything is yet well understood:
Like all theories in science, it is a work in progress, for we do not yet know the causes of all of evolution, or of all the biological phenomena that evolutionary biology will have to explain.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
…while at the same time claiming that everything can be explained by evolutionary theory (recall the earlier: ‘Neither at the morphological nor the molecular level is the notion of “irreducible complexity” a barrier to evolution.’)
Late in the book, various questions are posed and answered based on theological challenges to the theory of evolution. The tenth one strikes at the core of the question:
10. Complex adaptations such as wings, eyes, and biochemical pathways could not have evolved gradually because the first stages would not have been adaptive. The full complexity of such an adaptation is necessary, and it could not arise in a single step by evolution.
[the first part of the answer in the text]: This was one of the first objections that greeted The Origin of Species, and it has been christened “irreducible complexity” by advocates of intelligent design.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
In order to separate the substance of this question from the underlying religious undertones, it might be rephrased to something like this: given that complex biological systems exist, and have evolved over time with increasingly complexity, how do the known mechanisms of evolutionary theory (mutation, genetic drift, recombination, various forms of selection) explain the process for a complex systems to evolve to a different—and even more complex—system, while maintaining the viability and selective advantage of the newly evolved system.
[the second part of the answer in the text]: Our answer has two parts. First, many such complex features, such as hemoglobin and eyes, do show various stages of increasing complexity among different organisms. “Half an eye”—an eye capable of discriminating light from dark, but incapable of forming a focused image—is indeed better than no eye at all.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
Complex systems evolve from less complex systems. The question is how. The fact that various types of biological systems of varying levels of complexity exist in nature (eyes, for instance) doesn’t settle the question of how complex systems evolve. If biologists could demonstrate, model, or explain in detail how one complex system evolved from a less complex system, that would go a long way in settling the question.
[the third part of the answer in the text]: Second, many structures have been modified for a new function after being elaborated to serve a different function. The “finished version” of an adaptation that we see today may indeed require precise coordination of many components in order to perform its current function, but the earlier stages, performing different or less demanding functions, and performing them less efficiently, are likely to have been an improvement on the ancestral feature. The evolution of the mammalian skull and jaw provides a good example.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
No doubt this is true (Gould calls this ‘exaptation’), and likely a major contributor to the evolution of complex systems. But it doesn’t in itself explain how complex systems in general, or in any specific case, evolve. As for the examples given, the mammalian skull and jaw do not represent a complex system. It seems easier to understand how a bone system that already exists could evolve incrementally, in terms of size, shape and function, without requiring the coordinated steps necessary for a complex system to evolve. Examples of complex systems might include eyes, the feather, the amniotic egg, flagella, and blood clotting. No doubt many more exist, along with the incredibly complex bio-chemical processes that take place within every living cell.
Several possibilities certainly exist:
· It could be that scientists genuinely understand how complex systems evolve, and have yet to provide a convincing statement to the public.
· Or such convincing statements have been published, and I am simply unaware of them.
· It’s also possible that the evolution of complex systems is simply one of many biological mysteries that remain unsolved (like how life originated on Earth, say, or how enzymes evolved, an example given earlier), and biologists are busy researching what they consider more important topics, ones related to health care, for instance.
If, however, the evolution of complex biological systems remains a genuine scientific mystery, and if the scientific community continues to minimize or deny the magnitude of that mystery (as reflected in this text, for instance), then the possibility of that mystery ever being properly researched, let alone resolved, remains problematic.
Texts like this are being taught to future scientists, and those future scientists are getting the impression that the question of how complex biological systems have evolved has already been answered, or soon will be, when this is demonstrably not so.
Michael Behe provides a good introduction into the subject of intelligent design:
To a person who does not feel obliged to restrict his search to unintelligent causes, the straightforward conclusion is that many bio-chemical systems were designed. They were designed not by the laws of nature, not by chance and necessity; rather, they were planned. The designer knew what the systems would look like when they were completed, then took steps to bring the systems about. Life on earth at its most fundamental level, in its most critical components, is the product of intelligent activity.
Michael Behe, Darwin’s Black Box
Within the Vicarian Domain, the evidence suggests (explored in detail in the next section) that some form of intention, planning, coordination and communication takes place, elements currently not explainable by physical and chemical processes we understand. Even so, I would withhold judgement as to exactly what it is, with such words as ‘intelligent’ and ‘design’ a bit presumptive, because we don’t know. Unfortunately, any serious advocate of such possibilities gets linked immediately to theological and/or supernatural advocates:
[Intelligent Design Theory] proponents generally do not publicly invoke special creation by God. Some of them even accept certain aspects of evolution, such as development of different species from common ancestors. They argue, however, that many biological phenomena are too complicated to have arisen by natural processes and can therefore be explained only by an intelligent designer….The designer they envision, however, is a supernatural rather than a material being.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
An intelligent designer isn’t the only explanation, but it remains a possibility. However, instead of ‘intelligent design’ I might look for something closer to ‘coordinated evolution’, perhaps. In any case, once a full explanation is determined, it will undoubtedly be a natural one. It could also be (and this is what I think most biologists believe) that it will simply be more of the same, in that no new processes or elements will be discovered, simply an extension of the biochemical world already in view.
Futuyma’s book takes an unnecessarily defensive stand against Intelligent Design, unnecessarily defensive in that it remains possible that some form of intentional (or designed, or coordinated) evolution takes place:
Unless the [Intelligent Design] advocate proposes that extraterrestrial creatures are responsible (which would merely shift the problem a step back), this designer must be a supernatural rather than material being.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
This statement is mistaken in two ways. First of all, whether alien-caused evolution shifts the problem back would depend entirely on the nature of the aliens. It’s possible that aliens exist in an entirely different way than biological life on Earth, in ways we can’t imagine or comprehend. It’s possible that such creatures have already determined how their life originated, leaving the question fully resolved. Several such examples exist in history, where entirely unexpected realms became manifest: discovery of a round world and new continents; electricity and magnetism; radar and radio waves; cosmic radiation and quarks; microbes and bacteria. Before their discovery, these things lay hidden in and around every living human (even the new continents, where native humans lived, unaware that they remained undiscovered).
Secondly, it simply doesn’t follow that ‘intelligent design’ must be caused by a supernatural being. Other possibilities exist, and will continue to exist until scientists demonstrate conclusively how complex systems evolve. Which brings us to the next point:
But the [intelligent design] hypothesis generates no research ideas. It stops science dead in its tracks.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
This is only correct if we assume the supernatural as the source of such evolution, and not a process existing in nature, one discoverable by science. For instance, an hypothesis that goes something like, ‘a process of intelligent design is the source of the evolution of complex biological systems’ is a valid scientific statement, because it can be falsified by demonstrating how complex biological systems actually evolve. Research aimed at falsifying this hypothesis might be accomplished in a number of ways:
· take a simple complex system (flagella, for instance) and determine, step by genetic step, what might be needed to take place in order to evolve the system. Certain flagella are relatively simple, yet a functioning engine that appears irreducibly complex. Only a couple of dozen proteins are involved, and it might be possible to model how those proteins evolve from one stable system to another, with a credible number of mutations involved. While theories exist, they haven’t yet been validated, or accepted. Building a model that demonstrates a potential developmental path for the evolution of flagella would be a positive step forward.
· at a macro level, identify a complex system (pit vipers, for instance) and map a credible evolutionary path that requires a minimum of genetic change from one viable phenotype to another. If a model of sequential genotypes could be posited that demonstrated a viable path via incremental changes, the source of the necessary genetic changes, either mutation or recombination, that would provide a decent falsification of the hypothesis.
· attempt to discover precisely how a novel feature comes into existence. Humans have been breeding dogs (and other animals) for thousands of years, resulting in a wide range of types, but without ever creating one new novel feature. Showing conclusively how a specific novel feature came into existence would be helpful.
Assume for a moment that such research is technically possible. What if after applying existing biological/genetic/evolutionary tools in a research program designed to demonstrate a viable path to biological complexity, the effort repeatedly failed to provide even one viable explanation? That in itself would represent new knowledge.
But Jerry Coyne sees no point in such research:
In the main, ID [Intelligent Design] is unscientific, for it consists largely of untestable claims. How, for example, can we determine whether mutations were mere accidents in DNA replication or were willed into being by a creator?
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
This is a perfect example of what scientific research should address. If we change our perspective from one that expects every explanation to adhere to known physical and chemical processes/forces to a new perspective that allows for the possibility of novel forces as yet unknown, ones that would explain biological reality as it is understood, perhaps new solutions could be discovered to the examples listed below:
But we can still ask if there are adaptations that could not have been built by selection, and therefore required us to think of another mechanism. Advocates of ID have suggested several such adaptations, such as the bacterial flagellum (a bacteria to propel themselves) and the mechanism of blood clotting. Those are indeed complex features: the flagellum, for instance, is composed of dozens of separate proteins, all of which must work in concert for the hair-like “propeller” to move.
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
What doesn’t follow is the default described below:
IDer’s argue that such traits, involving many parts that must cooperate for that trait to function at all, defy Darwinian explanation. Therefore, by default, they must have been designed by a supernatural agent. This is commonly called the “God in the gaps” argument, and it is an argument from ignorance. What it really says is that if we don’t understand everything about how natural selection built a trait, that lack of understanding itself is evidence for supernatural creation.
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
In my case I argue for more science, a science with a shifted perspective that allows for something new, one that shucks the shackles of basic physics and chemistry, one that recognizes new complexities at the molecular level (within the Vicarian Domain).
Jerry Coyne provides additional evidence for the existence of such scientific shackles:
But even if we agree that natural selection does work in nature, how much work can it really do? Sure, selection can change the beaks of birds, or the flowering period of plants, but can it build complexity? What about intricate traits like the tetrapod limb; or exquisite biochemical adaptations like blood clotting, which entails a precise sequence of steps involving many proteins; or perhaps the most complicated apparatus that ever evolved—the human brain.
We are at somewhat of a handicap here because, as we know, complex features take a long time to evolve, and most of them did so in the distant past when we weren’t around to see how it happened.
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
But many aspects of the natural world came about in the distant past, and yet science can figure out what took place. Plate tectonics, for example, and the formation of large molecules in the furnaces of the stars. You don’t have to see evolution take place to develop a viable theory and a working model; what you need is a viable explanation, something that so far doesn’t exist:
So how can we be sure that selection was involved? How do we know that creationists are wrong when they say that selection can make small changes in organisms but is powerless to make big ones?
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
Criticism of Neo-Darwinism is not limited to creationists. Asserting that science has yet to explain the evolution of complex biological structures is not synonymous with creationism:
But first we must ask: What’s the alternative theory? We know of no other natural process that can build a complex adaptation.
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
We didn’t know what physical processes could move continents when Wegener made his proposal. We didn’t know what physical processes could keep a planet in orbit around the sun prior to Newton. The fact that we can ask such a question about evolution makes it clear that an opportunity exists to discover the natural processes that ‘build a complex adaptation.’
Coyne emphasizes a cultural demand for supernatural explanations, demands that put defensive pressure on scientists to defend a crippled Neo-Darwinism:
The most commonly suggested alternative takes us into the realm of the supernatural. This, of course, is creationism, known in its latest incarnation as "intelligent design". Advocates of ID suggest that a supernatural designer has intervened at various time during the history of life, either instantly calling into being the complex adaptations that natural selection supposedly can't make, or producing "miracle mutations” that can’t occur by chance.
Jerry Coyne, Why Evolution is True
Let’s take a closer look at Neo-Darwinism. Striking at the core of the issue, Richard Dawkins, the premier popularizer of Neo-Darwinism, writes:
We have seen that living things are too improbable and too beautifully ‘designed’ to have come into existence by chance. How, then did they come into existence? The answer, Darwin’s answer, is by gradual, step-by-step transformations from simple beginnings, from primordial entities sufficiently simple to have come into existence by chance.
Richard Dawkins, The Blind Watchmaker
Not far behind Dawkins in terms of public support for Neo-Darwinism, Daniel Dennett indicates that…
…having declared their allegiance to natural selection, these scientists have then proceeded to take on the burden of showing how the difficulties with their view could be overcome, and, time and time again, they have succeeded in meeting the challenge. In the process, Darwin’s fundamental idea of natural selection has been articulated, expanded, clarified, quantified, and deepened in many ways, becoming stronger every time it overcame a challenge. With every success, the scientists’ conviction grows that they must be on the right track. It is reasonable to believe that an idea that was ultimately false would surely have succumbed by now to such an unremitting campaign of attacks. [my emphasis]
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
This line of argument is particularly weak, as we have reviewed several major historical examples where the reigning paradigm existed for decades and even centuries before being cast aside by new discoveries.
Dennett continues:
That is not a conclusive proof, of course, just a mighty persuasive consideration. One of the goals of this book is to explain why the idea of natural selection appears to be a clear winner, even while there are unresolved controversies about how it can handle some phenomena.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
Dennett strikes a common theme in the literature, that despite not everything related to the evolution of complex biological organisms having been fully explained, confidence that the current theory will ultimately prove out:
I cannot (yet) see how to refute this objection, or overcome this difficulty [irreducible complexity], but since I cannot imagine how anything other than natural selection could be the cause of the effects, I will have to assume that the objection is spurious; somehow natural selection must be sufficient to explain the effects.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
This is how Dawkins puts it:
The theory of evolution by cumulative natural selection is the only theory we know of that is in principle capable of explaining the existence of organized complexity. Even if the evidence did not favor it, it would still be the best theory available!
Richard Dawkins, The Blind Watchmaker
A different view of the circumstances might interpret the gaping holes in the theory as evidence that something more fundamental is in play. Yet scientific orthodoxy insists that...
Through endless repetition of such cycles of mutation and natural selection – a molecular form of trial and error – organisms gradually evolve.
Alberts et al., Essential Cell Biology
One of the principle drivers of evolutionary change is called ‘the arms race.’ For instance (although countless examples exist) the faster the antelope runs, the faster the cheetah must evolve in order to catch it:
…the arms-race idea remains by far the most satisfactory explanation for the existence of the advanced and complex machinery that animals and plants possess.
Richard Dawkins, The Blink Watchmaker
No doubt such dialectical conflicts exist in nature and contribute to evolution. But they are partial explanations at best. More promising explanations relate to regulatory genes:
Protein sequence evolution can also be an important source of regulatory novelty in evolution. Amino acid substitutions in transcription factors, affecting either their interactions with other regulatory proteins or their binding to cis-regulatory elements, represent an important potential source of novelty because these changes can potentially affect the expression of many downstream genes during development….it is clear that even a small number of changes in a regulatory protein can lead to important macroevolutionary novelties.
Douglas Futuyma, Evolution
This must be right, in that the manipulation of regulatory genes have the potential to make significant changes to the phenotype with minimal changes to the genotype. Dennett agrees:
In his account of Biomorph Land, Dawkins stresses that a tiny—indeed minimal—change in the genotype (the recipe) can produce a strikingly large change in the phenotype (the resulting individual organism), but he tends to slight one of the major implications of this: if a single step in the genotype can produce a giant step in the phenotype, intermediate steps for the phenotype may be simply unavailable, given the mapping rules.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
This is a telling clue because the control of these regulatory genes can drive big changes in a species. But do these changes in regulatory genes take place by chance mutations (and the attendant challenges with that potential solution) or is there an alternative explanation?
The principle weakness of defenses of Neo-Darwinism put forth by Dawkins and Dennett relate to the lack of molecular explanations. Without a molecular explanation one way or another, we won’t be able to settle the question. The proof or refutation for any theory of evolution doesn’t exist at the macro level.
Controversy about the mechanisms and principles of speciation still persists, so in one sense neither Darwin nor any subsequent Darwinian has explained the origin of species.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
Even today, the origin of a new species from a pre-existing species has never been directly observed.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
The first issue with Neo-Darwinism is the lack of direct evidence that one species evolved from a different one:
Neither Darwin nor any subsequent biologist has ever witnessed the evolution of one new species as it actually occurs.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Daniel Dennett agrees:
Darwin knew full well that explaining variation is not explaining speciation. The animal-breeders he pumped so vigorously for their lore knew about how to breed variety within a single species, but had apparently never created a new species, and scoffed at the idea that their particular different breeds might have a common ancestor.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
This limitation isn’t fatal to Neo-Darwinism. It’s reasonably certain that speciation occurs. The difficulty lies in the dependence on the theory of incremental change seeded by mutation and subject to natural selection. Denton explains…
…that while breeding experiments and the domestication of animals had revealed that many species were capable of a considerable degree of change, they also revealed distinct limits in nearly every case beyond which no further change could ever be produced. Here then was a very well established fact, known for centuries, which seemed to run counter to [Darwin’s] whole case, threatening not only his special theory—that one species could evolve into another—but also the plausibility of the extrapolation from micro to macroevolution, which, as we have seen, was largely based on an appeal to the remarkable degree of change achieved by artificial selection in a relatively short time.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Darwin insisted that the success of his theory required very small incremental changes over a great deal of time. But this is problematic for a couple of reasons. For one thing, we know through breeding experience that changes in a species can be achieved very quickly (in terms of geological time). A natural example of this might be a severe change in a species’ environment or ecology that favored a select few every generation (say only the fastest 10% survived and reproduced) resulting in a rapid change in the population.
The second problem is related. If the incremental change is too small, it’s unlikely to give any selective advantages to the individuals that possess it, limiting the change in the population. In fact, when the environment remains relatively stable, a species will oscillate back and forth slightly over time in measurable attributes, leading essentially nowhere.
The introduction of punctuated equilibrium provides a possible explanation for this phenomenon:
The model of evolution [Gould and Eldridge] propose, known as punctuated equilibrium, envisages evolution as an episodic process occurring in fits and starts interspaced with long periods of stasis.
According to their model, new species arise rapidly in small peripherally isolated populations. During the explosive phase as the new species emerges the population undergoes rapid morphological change after which it spreads over a wide geographical area and undergoes little further change. There is a considerable amount of evidence drawn from studies of the genetics of isolated populations, such as the fruit flies of Hawaii, but many other sources as well, that this is precisely in fact how new species do arise.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
This is almost certainly correct. However, one of the questions raised concerns such rapid change emanating from small gene pools:
Rapidity of change is crucially affected by the size of the gene pool; large gene pools are conservative and tend to absorb innovation attempts without a trace.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
And yet the larger the gene pool, the more variation. Smaller gene pools will necessarily consist of less variation, although be more pliable to change.
But how much change can a particular species realize?
But this argument by uniformitarian extrapolation presents a serious difficulty…: change surely occurs in domestication, but suppose that species function like glass spheres with a modal configuration at the center and unbridgeable limits to variation representing the surface. Artificial selection could then bring morphology from the center to the surface, but no further—and the key argument for smooth extrapolation to all change over any time would fail.
Stephan J. Gould, The Structure of Evolutionary Theory
The possibility exists that organisms fit within certain categories that possess limits as to what can change:
According to the typological model of nature all the variations exhibited by the individual members of a particular class was merely variation on an underlying theme or design which was fundamentally invariant and immutable.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Denton goes on to point out that these immutable classes characterize all of nature:
Typology implied that there were absolute discontinuities between each class of organisms, that life was therefore fundamentally a discontinuous phenomenon and that sequential arrangements, whereby different classes were linked together or approached gradually through a series of transitional forms, should be completely absent from the entire realm of nature.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
If we accept this typology as being valid, it solves one problem but then raises another. On the one hand, this would explain the absence of intermediate organisms in the fossil record (or living on earth), but on the other hand undermines a Darwinian explanation as to how these different classes came to be.
The lack of intermediates posed a major problem for Darwin:
Why then is not every geological formation and every stratum full of such intermediate links? Geology assuredly does not reveal any such finely graduated organic chain; and this, perhaps, is the most obvious and gravest objection which can be urged against my theory.
Charles Darwin, quoted by Stephen J. Gould, The Structure of Evolutionary Theory
Denton hammers this home when he writes:
…the fact that [Darwin] had absolutely no direct empirical evidence in the existence of clear-cut intermediates that evolution on a major scale had ever occurred and that any of the major divisions of nature had been crossed gradually through a sequence of transitional forms.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
He further elaborates:
…out of all the millions of living species known to biology, only a handful can be considered to be in any sense intermediate between other well defined types.
The lungfish is a classic example. It has fins, gills and an intestine containing a spiral valve like any fish but lungs, heart and a larval state like an amphibian. Another classic example of an intermediate type is the egg-laying mammals, the monotremes, such as the duck billed platypus. In laying eggs the monotremes are reptilian, but in their possession of hair, mammary glands, and the three ear ossicles they are entirely mammalian.
Undoubtedly, if the various anatomical and physiological systems in the lungfish and the monotremes were all strictly transitional between fish and amphibia and between reptiles and mammals respectively, then the case for them being genuine transitional types would be far clearer. However, in the case of lungfish, its fish characteristics such as its gills and its intestinal spiral valve are one hundred per cent typical of the condition found in many ordinary fish, while its heart and the way the blood is returned to the heart from the lungs is similar to the situation found in most terrestrial vertebrates. In other words, although the lungfish betrays a bewildering mixture of fish and amphibian character traits, the individual characteristics themselves are not in any realistic sense transitional between the two types.
The biology of the monotremes is similar. Again, where they are reptilian in, for example, the reproductive system an in the structure of their eggs, they seem almost fully reptilian, while where they are mammalian, as for example in the construction of their middle ear, or in the possession of hair, they are fully mammalian. Instead of finding character traits which are obviously transitional we find them to be either basically reptilian or basically mammalian…
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Dennett agrees:
Thousands of gradations and variations between organisms could be observed, but there were also huge gaps between them. There were birds and mammals that swam like fish, but none with gills; there were dogs of many sizes and shapes, but no dogcats or dogcows or feathered dogs.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
While the lack of intermediates, and the existence of classes separated by seemingly unbridgeable gaps, may seem overwhelmingly challenging for Darwinian theory of evolution, we possess a few telling clues that might help explain. The first possible explanation has to do with the origination of all major classes:
It is still…overwhelmingly true that the first representatives of all major classes of organisms known to biology are already highly characteristic of their class when they make their initial appearance in the fossil record. This phenomenon is particularly obvious in the case of the invertebrate fossil record. At its first appearance in the ancient Paleozoic seas, invertebrate life was already divided into practically all the major groups with which we are familiar today. Not only was every major invertebrate phyla represented, but a good many of their main subgroups were also present. The mollusks, for example, the earliest representatives of the cephalopods (the group including the octopus and squid), of the bivalves (clams and oysters) or gastropods (snails and slugs), etc. are all highly differentiated when they burst into the fossil record. Neither the phyla nor their main subdivisions are linked by transitional forms. Robert Barnes summed up the current situation: “…the fossil record tells us almost nothing about the evolutionary origin of phyla and classes. Intermediate forms are non-existent, undiscovered, or not recognized.”
Curiously, the problem is compounded by the fact that the earliest representatives of most of the major invertebrate phyla appear in the fossil record over a relatively short space of geological time, about six hundred million years ago in the Cambrian era. The strata lain down over the hundreds of millions of years before the Cambrian era, which might have contained the connecting links between the major phyla, are almost completely empty of animal fossils. If transitional types between the major phyla ever existed then it is in these pre-Cambrian strata that their fossils should be found.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Something very special happened during the Cambrian explosion. I suspect that extensive sharing of genetic material took place and created almost unlimited variation. And just about everything would have worked, at least for a while. Nothing like it has happened since.
After the explosion, each class stabilized into different branches leading in many cases to living organisms today.
An important evolutionary concept needs to be considered. Dogs didn’t evolve from cats, and humans didn’t evolve from chimpanzees. In every case, any two organisms can be linked to a last common ancestor, a species that existed in the past. As a specific example, it is believed that the LCA of humans and chimpanzees (chimpanzees being the closest living relative of humans) existed about 7 million years ago. It would have been neither a chimp nor a human.
All mammals evolved from some rat-like-looking thing that ran around at night trying to avoid being eaten by a dinosaur. Every mammal on earth today, from whales to rats, share essential features of that first mammal. In other words, a cat didn’t evolve from a bird or an insect. In both cases, the cat has an LCA for a bird or insect that predates the first mammal. That being the case, there will never be intermediates linking a cat and a bird, say.
Another possible explanation for the lack of intermediates brings us back to Eldridge/Gould and punctuated equilibrium:
If it is indeed true that new species evolve rapidly in localized geographical areas and that the populations involved are small, then obviously the chance of fossilization of transitional forms is very low.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
This seems reasonable. But then Denton continues:
…While Eldridge and Gould’s model is a perfectly reasonable explanation of the gaps between species (and, in my view, correct) it is doubtful if it can be extended to explain the larger systematic gaps. The gaps which separate species: dog/fox, rat/mouse, etc. are utterly trivial compared with, say, that between a primitive terrestrial mammal and a whale or a primitive terrestrial reptile and an Ichthyosaur; and even these relatively major discontinuities are trivial alongside those which divide major phyla such as mollusks and arthropods. Such major discontinuities simply could not, unless we are to believe in miracles, have been crossed in geologically short periods of time through one or two transitional species occupying restricted geographical areas. Surely, such transitions must have involved long lineages including many collateral lines of hundreds, probably thousands of transitional species. To suggest that the hundreds, thousands or possibly even millions of transitional species which must have existed in the interval between vastly dissimilar types were all unsuccessful species occupying isolated areas and having very small population numbers is verging on the incredible!
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
I completely agree with the problematic evolution of whales. While a few intermediates have been discovered in recent decades, the gaps remain massive and unexplained. However, as for the gap between mollusks and arthropods, that took place during the Cambrian explosion, and like Vegas, whatever happens in the Cambrian remains in the Cambrian.
Seriously, if I am correct, the explosion of variation that took place in the Cambrian could have covered immense ground in a relatively short amount of time. We know it could, because it did.
Given the dependence of evolution on occasional mutations, mainstream evolutionary scientists could demonstrate a case of evolution by taking a model genotype and demonstrate how singular changes to that genotype could lead to changes in a phenotype that are demonstrably better than the original, even if the improvement was minor, and therefore selected. This might validate the notion that discrete mutations can drive evolutionary change. Does such a model exist?
Another way to demonstrate a real case of evolution would be to provide extended examples of how a complex structure (cilia, the mammalian eye, the amniotic egg, a bird feather, blood clotting, etc.) could evolve one altered gene at a time, with each change an improvement in overall fitness. This assuming that random mutation would be the source of such change. Do such examples exist?
Or do complex structures require multiple genetic changes at any given point? And if so, how do these multiple – and coordinated – changes in the genotype take place?
Do scientists understand the unbroken causal link between the genetic code and the development of specific features? Sure, we know in many cases what genes affect what part of an organism’s development, but do we know each step in an unbroken causal chain? For instance, how does my genetic code that begins in a fused sperm and egg lead step by step to ultimately drive my sexual behavior? Isn’t there just a big black box between the genetic code and such things that we simply label ‘FM’? (‘Fucking Magic’)
For example (among thousands that could be cited): in pit vipers, the venom is delivered from the venom sack through hollow fangs and into the victim. The evolution of venom seems fairly straightforward, and of course teeth can evolve into different forms, including fangs. But how does the delivery system that includes long, hollow fangs, special muscles in the snake’s head that contracts during a strike (forcing the venom through the fangs), and the actual channel the venom passes through, evolve, one step at a time? Why would a tooth become hollow, like a hypodermic needle, absent venom? Or how would a regular tooth, prior, say, to selection for ever longer fangs, be able to inject venom? And how would the source of venom ever get connected via specialized tubes that lead to the hollow fang?
Moreover, the seemingly intractable difficulty of explaining how a living system could have gradually arisen as a result of known chemical and physical processes raised the obvious possibility that factors as yet undefined by science may have played some role.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Neo-Darwinism fails to fully explain how evolution takes place. Not that it’s wrong, simply incomplete. While mutations take place, variations arise in various ways, and natural selection plays a relevant part, science has failed to demonstrate how these known mechanisms deliver new traits, structures and species.
The current equation on how organisms evolve reads: evolution happens (fact) + mutations occur (fact) + variations arise within populations (fact) + populations are culled (via natural selection) = problem solved (Neo-Darwinism).
Denton summarizes it well:
Undoubtedly, one of the major factors which contribute to the immense appeal of the Darwinian framework is that, with all its deficiencies, the Darwinian model is still the only model of evolution ever proposed which invokes well-understood physical and natural processes as the causal agencies of evolutionary change. Creationist theories invoke frankly supernatural causes, the Lamarckian model is incompatible with the modern understanding of heredity, and no case has ever been observed of the inheritance of acquired characteristics; and saltational models of evolution can never be subject to any sort of empirical confirmation…Reject Darwinism and there is, in effect, no scientific theory of evolution.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
While this formulation appeals to many scientists, justifying a commitment as it does to Neo-Darwinism, it paves over the gaping holes in current orthodoxy, and fails to acknowledge the possibility that something other than “well-understood physical and natural processes” might be at play:
There is still a possibility that living systems could possess some novel, unknown property or characteristic which might conceivably have played a role in evolution.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
Denton goes on to offer a possibility, a starting point:
…there has been an upsurge recently of this traditional alternative to gradualism, the concept of evolution by saltation, the idea that new organs and types emerge suddenly following some sort of massive macromutation.
Michael Denton, Evolution: a Theory in Crisis
This must be true, in some form, as we have discussed the principle weakness of Neo-Darwinism in its inability to explain the evolution of complex systems, or even model in a single instance how such systems might have come about one point mutation at a time. Gould lays it out as follows:
Charges of inconceivability took several forms, each reducible to the claim that you can’t get from here to there, however well the beginning and end points may function. Consider the two most prominent formulations: (1) Early stages (when rudimentary) could provide no adaptive advantage, however valuable the final product (2) Major functional changes cannot occur because intermediary stages would fall into a never-never land of inviolability, with the original (and essential) function lost, and the new operation not yet established.
Stephen J. Gould, The Structure of Evolutionary Theory
This leads to the possibility, if not the certainty, that larger macro-changes are somehow spawned:
If new Bauplane [basic body plan of an organism] often arise in an adaptive cascade following the saltational origin of a key feature, then part of the process is sequential and adaptive, and therefore Darwinian; but the initial step is not, since selection does not play a creative role in building the key feature.
Stephan J. Gould, quoted by Daniel Dennett in Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
But how?
The important steps in evolution, the construction of the Bauplan itself and the transition between Bauplane, must involve some other unknown, and perhaps, ‘internal’ mechanism.
Stephan J. Gould, quoted by Daniel Dennett in Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
This ‘internal’ mechanism must reside within the cell, and most certainly the DNA. One interesting clue is how much of non-coding DNA is preserved. This is relevant because random mutations on non-functioning portions of DNA generally get passed along and are easily detectable, whereas presumably mutations in functional parts of the molecule get weeded out via natural selection, the assumption being that these mutations are detrimental. As a result, those portions of DNA are conserved:
The functions of many of these conserved noncoding sequences [in mammalian DNA]…remains unknown. The unexpected discovery of these mysterious conserved DNA sequences suggests that we understand much less about the cell biology of mammals than we previously imagined.
…we can expect many more surprises that will lead to an increased understanding in the years ahead. [my emphasis]
Alberts et al., Essential Cell Biology
All this is inconclusive. We explore the borders of scientific knowledge and peer beyond. We mark the gaps and mysteries along the way and note any suggestive threads that might lead to an answer.
We finish the section with an exercise of imagination:
Imagine a world in which actual hands from another galaxy supplemented the “hidden hand” of natural selection. Imagine that natural selection on this planet was aided and abetted over the eons by visitors: tinkering, farsighted, reason-representing organism-designers, like the animal- and plant-breeders of our actual world, but not restricting themselves to “domesticated” organisms designed for human use. (To make it vivid, we may suppose they treated Earth as their “theme park,” creating whole phyla for educational or entertainment purposes.) These bioengineers would have actually formulated, and represented, and acted on, the rationales of their designs—just like automobile engineers or our own contemporary gene-splicers. Then, let’s suppose, they absconded. Now, would their handiwork be detectable by any imaginable analysis by biologists today?
…Would a closer look at the organism designs themselves—the phenotypes—reveal some telltale discontinuities? Gene-splicers are the most powerful cranes we have yet discovered. Are there designs that simply could not be erected without the help of this particular crane? If there are designs that cannot be approached by a gradual, stepwise redesign process in which each step is at least no worse for the gene’s survival chances than its predecessor, then the existence of such a design in nature would seem to require, at some point in its ancestry, a helping hand from a foresightful designer—either a gene-splicer, or a breeder who somehow preserved the necessary succession of intermediate backsliders until they could yield their sought progeny. But could we ever conclusively establish that some design had this feature of requiring such a saltation in its ancestry?
…Indeed, all the biologists I have queried on this point have agreed with me that there are not sure marks of natural, as opposed to artificial, selection…It would be foolhardy, however, for any defender of Neo-Darwinism to claim that contemporary evolution theory gives one the power to read history so finely from present data as to rule out the earlier historical presence of rational designers—a wildly implausible fantasy, but a possibility after all.
Daniel Dennett, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea
Not just a possibility, I would argue, but shading towards likelihood. While this extraterrestrial designer is possible, I think we can look closer to home for a natural solution, one that lies within the Vicarian Domain of a living cell.
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